© Reuters. A man counts U.S. dollar banknotes at an exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon March 18, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir/Files
By Stefano Rebaudo
LONDON (Reuters) – The dollar rose to fresh two-decade highs on Thursday as concerns that tighter monetary policies to tame surging inflation will hurt the global economy dampened risk sentiment and drove investors into safe-haven currencies.
Data on Wednesday showed U.S. consumer price growth slowed sharply in April, suggesting that inflation had probably peaked, though it was likely to stay hot.
The data confirmed expectations for further aggressive hikes in interest rates by the Federal Reserve.
Asian stocks fell to an almost two-year low, European shares tumbled and oil prices were down 2%.
The , which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.4% to 104.45, after hitting its highest since December 2002 at 104.54.
“The U.S. economy remains strong, and inflation is still there. We have little reason to believe that data will prevent the Fed from raising rates and starting its quantitative tightening,” Kamal Sharma, forex strategist at BofA said.
Despite increasing expectations of a rate hike in July, the euro remained under pressure on fears that the war in Ukraine and rising energy prices could tip the eurozone into recession later this year. “The dominant theme is not whether the ECB will hike rates in July, which is already priced in, but what is going on in economic activity and how this will spill over into central banks’ reaction function,” Sharma added. The euro fell 0.8% to $1.0427, after hitting its lowest since January 2017 at $1.0422. Mizuho analysts flagged that risk sentiment soured further due to the news regarding China’s COVID situation. Shanghai authorities combed the city on Thursday for its last COVID-19 cases to clear the way for an exit from a painful six-week lockdown. China’s yuan fell as low as 6.8292 per dollar, its lowest level since September 2020, down 0.7%.
“Until we see some major Chinese stimulus or a shift in Covid policy (very unlikely), the uncertainty over where this rally stops will keep commodity currencies and EM FX in general under pressure,” ING analysts said.
The and the dollar fell around 1% against the greenback to their lowest since June 2020.
The yen rose 1% against the dollar as money flowed into safe-haven assets. But it was not far from its lowest level since April 2002 as hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric continued to weigh on the Japanese currency. A Bank of Japan policymaker said it was inappropriate to change monetary policy to control exchange rates, brushing aside the idea of countering yen falls with rate hikes. meanwhile fell to its lowest in 16 months on Thursday, leading a rush out of risk assets, such as tech stocks, while the collapse of TerraUSD, a so-called stablecoin, underscored the strain on cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, rose 1% to $28,797, after hitting its lowest since December 2020. It has lost a third of its value in the last eight sessions.
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